Crash model

Price the bad day before it arrives

Switch on the crash band and Trident prices the trade through a market fall with implied volatility rising, calibrated on 71 index crash sessions.

Risk graph · Crash vol on
Risk graph ยท Crash vol on screen in Trident

Volatility moves with the price

In a sharp fall, implied volatility tends to rise. The crash band raises it as the price falls, so short options are priced the way a crash reprices them.

Calibrated, not guessed

The relationship between the fall and the rise in volatility comes from 71 index crash sessions.

Size with the worst case in view

Compare the quiet-fall curve with the crash curve before you choose the number of contracts.

Two curves, one decision

The normal curve holds implied volatility fixed. The crash curve lets it rise as the price falls. The gap between them is the extra risk a crash adds.

Crash band on
Crash band on screen in Trident

Works on any position

Use it on a single strategy in the lab, a screener result, or the whole book across accounts.

Scenario controls
Scenario controls screen in Trident

Live terminal screens; prices are for illustration.

Frequently asked questions

Is the crash band a forecast?

No. It is a scenario: what the position would be worth if a fall like those in the sample happened. It does not say how likely a crash is.

What does it not capture?

Overnight gaps beyond the sample, trading halts, wide bid-ask spreads and liquidity drying up. Treat it as one view of risk, not the only one.

Can I turn it off?

Yes. It is a switch under the graph, off by default.

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